Is agricultural production in the Philippines at risk due to climate change?

Is agricultural production in the Philippines at risk due to climate change?
Author :
Publisher :
Total Pages : 74
Release :
ISBN-10 : OCLC:989376681
ISBN-13 :
Rating : 4/5 (81 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Is agricultural production in the Philippines at risk due to climate change? by : Jennifer Madonna G. Dait

Download or read book Is agricultural production in the Philippines at risk due to climate change? written by Jennifer Madonna G. Dait and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate change impact is particularly severe in developing countries mainly because of low incomes, geographic state or condition, dependence on climate-sensitive sectors and inadequate capability to adapt to global warming (IPCC, 2009). This paper aimed on analyzing the risk posed by climate change using the following variables - temperature, precipitation, incidence of the la Niña and el Niño phenomenon, number of typhoons in the Philippines that hit landfall and carbon emission on Philippine agriculture. Likewise, it focused on the empirical measurement of the hypothesized relationship between agricultural output and the condition or predicted variables - land area used in agricultural production, employment in agriculture, agricultural credit and agricultural expenditure. The study used ordinary least square regression to find out the relationship of the aforementioned variables on output of Philippine agriculture using a time series data from 1980 to 2014. The economic model describing how agricultural output is affected by the identified predictor variables followed a Cobb-Douglas form. Results show that only three factors reflected statistically significant effects on agricultural production in the Philippines based on their respective t-ratios. They are Agricultural Employment (EA), temperature (TEMP), and La Niña (D1). The rest of the predictor variables exert no statistically significant effects on agricultural production in the Philippines although their respective signs are consistent with theoretical expectations similar to the significant factors.


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