Long-term Gain, Short-Term Pain
Author | : Marika Santoro |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 35 |
Release | : 2015-12-29 |
ISBN-10 | : 9781513537634 |
ISBN-13 | : 1513537636 |
Rating | : 4/5 (34 Downloads) |
Download or read book Long-term Gain, Short-Term Pain written by Marika Santoro and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-12-29 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, I study the potential economic impact of the 2015-18 structural reform agenda in Chile, using the IMF dynamic general equilibrium model (GIMF). I find that the agenda has the potential to significantly increase Chile’s long-run GDP, although it may have some negative effects in the short term. Ensuring a smooth transition to a higher productive potential depends on three key dimensions: the credibility of the reforms, their effectiveness in closing structural gaps, and their speed of implementation. Badly designed reforms that remove only a very small fraction of the existing structural gaps, at a slow speed, and with little credibility, can greatly reduce the positive impact of the reform agenda on GDP.