Non-Defaultable Debt and Sovereign Risk

Non-Defaultable Debt and Sovereign Risk
Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Total Pages : 25
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9781498325189
ISBN-13 : 1498325181
Rating : 4/5 (89 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Non-Defaultable Debt and Sovereign Risk by : Mr.Juan Carlos Hatchondo

Download or read book Non-Defaultable Debt and Sovereign Risk written by Mr.Juan Carlos Hatchondo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-10-28 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We quantify gains from introducing non-defaultable debt as a limited additional financing option into a model of equilibrium sovereign risk. We find that, for an initial (defaultable) sovereign debt level equal to 66 percent of trend aggregate income and a sovereign spread of 2.9 percent, introducing the possibility of issuing non-defaultable debt for up to 10 percent of aggregate income reduces immediately the spread to 1.4 percent, and implies a welfare gain equivalent to a permanent consumption increase of 0.9 percent. The spread reduction would be only 0.1 (0.2) percentage points higher if the government uses nondefaultable debt to buy back (finance a “voluntary” debt exchange for) previously issued defaultable debt. Without restrictions to defaultable debt issuances in the future, the spread reduction achieved by the introduction of non-defaultable debt is short lived. We also show that allowing governments in default to increase non-defaultable debt is damaging at the time non-defaultable debt is introduced and inconsequential in the medium term. These findings shed light on different aspects of proposals to introduce common euro-area sovereign bonds that could be virtually non-defaultable.


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