Effective Containment Explains the Velocity of COVID-19 Spread
Author | : Ernest Frimpong Asamoah |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2020 |
ISBN-10 | : OCLC:1375433648 |
ISBN-13 | : |
Rating | : 4/5 (48 Downloads) |
Download or read book Effective Containment Explains the Velocity of COVID-19 Spread written by Ernest Frimpong Asamoah and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding the mechanisms underlying the global spread of the coronavirus (COVID-19) is key to addressing the pandemic. Herein, we use a global velocity model to examine the effectiveness of containment measures on the rate of COVID-19 spread at spatial scales. Velocity models were parameterised to locate COVID-19 analogues within a minimum exposure distance. We found that COVID-19 spread 193 analogue locations at 3.03km per day (range: .5 - 7.81km per day). We applied conventional time-series methods to study the effectiveness of shelter-in-place virus containment strategy as represented by device exposure and state-wise emergency declaration metrics, on velocity of virus spread. The best model comprised of high device exposure and state-wise emergency rank, explaining 44% of the variation in velocity of COVID-19. Our findings elucidate the importance of governments' response time and individual-level compliance in managing pathogens during epidemics.