Making Sense of Consumer Inflation Expectations
Author | : |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : |
Release | : 2022 |
ISBN-10 | : 9289949759 |
ISBN-13 | : 9789289949750 |
Rating | : 4/5 (59 Downloads) |
Download or read book Making Sense of Consumer Inflation Expectations written by and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Consumers' inflation expectations play a key role in the monetary transmission mechanism. As such, it is crucial for monetary policymakers to understand what they are and how they are formed. In this paper we introduce the (un)certainty channel as means to shed light on some of the more puzzling aspects of reported quantitative inflation perceptions and expectations. These include the apparent overestimation of inflation by consumers as well as the negative correlation observed between the economic outlook and inflation expectations. We also show that the uncertainty framework fits with some of the stylised facts of consumers' inflation expectations, such as their correlation with socio-demographic characteristics and economic sentiment.