Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households
Author | : Michael Weber |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2023 |
ISBN-10 | : OCLC:1378803837 |
ISBN-13 | : |
Rating | : 4/5 (37 Downloads) |
Download or read book Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households written by Michael Weber and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation expectations of households and firms are central determinants in all dynamic macro models. Yet, empirical evidence suggests these decision makers form expectations in a way that deviates from the assumptions in these models: on average, inflation expectations are biased upwards, are substantially dispersed across individuals, and co-move strongly with the prices of selected goods such as milk or gas. In this article, I discuss several stylized facts on subjective inflation expectations, their determinants, and how inflation expectations shape individuals' consumption, savings, and investment decisions. Finally, I review the recent literature on how central banks should communicate with the general public and highlight the role of the policy message, the messenger, and the medium for the effectiveness of central bank communication.